Using Learning Analytics to Capture Self-Regulation and the Complex Temporal Dynamics of its Correlates
This thesis investigates the complex interplay between self-regulated learning, student engagement, and learning analytics in online educational environments. Through three related studies, the research examines how learning analytics can support self-regulated learning, how students’ self-efficacy beliefs influence their learning behaviors, and how engagement patterns evolve alongside self-regulation throughout online courses. The research employs a mixed-methods approach that combines systematic literature review, sequence analysis, process mining, and multi-channel clustering techniques. Data were collected from multiple sources including learning management system trace data, self-reported surveys, and longitudinal self-regulated learning measures across various cohorts of business students. Key findings reveal that while learning analytics interventions show promise in supporting self-regulated learning, only 46% demonstrated positive impacts on learning outcomes. The research identified distinct patterns in how students with different self-efficacy beliefs approach online learning, with high self-efficacy students demonstrating more varied and adaptive learning tactics. Analysis of engagement patterns revealed three distinct clusters of students: low-regulating improvers (4.85%), disengaged low regulators (44.85%), and high-regulating improvers (50.30%), each showing different trajectories in their self-regulation development. The thesis makes several theoretical and practical contributions to the field of educational technology. It elucidates how self-regulation and engagement co-evolve in online learning environments, provides evidence-based recommendations for designing learning analytics interventions, and demonstrates the value of combining multiple analytical approaches to understand student learning processes. These findings have important implications for the design of online courses and learning support systems, particularly their adaptation to support students with varying levels of self- regulation skills and engagement patterns.